Grupo Mexico, South America’s biggest mining and transport conglomerate, posted a 17% increase in first-quarter net profit on Friday, supported by higher copper and silver prices and lower production costs.

Net profit reached $1.09 billion, exceeding the $816 million forecast from analysts surveyed by LSEG.

The results were largely driven by an 18% rise in copper prices and a 38% increase in silver prices compared to the same period last year.

Copper production and sales were mostly flat, but the price rally boosted the bottom line substantially.

Grupo Mexico is one of the world’s major copper producers with mining assets in Mexico, Peru, Spain, and the United States.

It also owns a large rail freight and infrastructure business, which helps to diversify its revenue away from passenger services.

Revenue also goes up

Quarterly revenue increased 10% year on year to $4.20 billion.

Grupo Mexico stated that targeted reductions in production costs for copper and associated byproducts helped to boost profit margins throughout the quarter.

The company did not provide particular cost reduction estimates, but instead emphasised operational efficiency throughout its mining units.

In the United States, output from Grupo Mexico’s subsidiary Asarco fell marginally, but this was offset by stable production elsewhere.

Copper sales were broadly in line with the first quarter of 2024, indicating that pricing, not volume, was the primary driver of the increase.

Global uncertainty looms

However, Grupo Mexico did caution that “global trade tensions could affect results in future quarters.”

Copper prices have dropped back since the end of Q1, when trade tensions between the US and China, two of the world’s top copper consumers, started to rise.

Copper was not included in the broad tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump in March, but analysts caution import limits could be imposed on the metal.

This could put a lid on global demand and pricing as Chinese countermeasures will follow with a heavy-handed thrill.

Grupo Mexico stated it is closely monitoring global trade developments, noting that “tariffs and protectionist trade policies could adversely affect results in upcoming quarters.”

A diversified portfolio offers a cushion

Grupo Mexico’s diversified portfolio offers resilience in the face of external risks.

The company’s freight rail division, one of the largest in Mexico, generates stable cash flow, while its infrastructure arm benefits from domestic investment in public works and energy.

German Larrea, the reclusive billionaire who owns Grupo Mexico, has previously emphasised a long-term strategy centred on efficiency, asset diversification, and commodity market cycles.

That concept appears to be paying off, as the corporation rides the present wave of high metal prices while bracing for potential turmoil ahead.

Grupo Mexico shares climb above key resistance following strong Q1 results

According to Yahoo Finance, as of 9:39 AM CST, Grupo Mexico (GMEXICOB.MX) shares were trading at MXN 103.17, up 0.58% or MXN 0.59 from the previous close.

The stock has been on a strong upward trajectory since the market opened.

The price has broken over the MXN 103.00 psychological resistance level, indicating that investors are optimistic following the company’s better-than-expected first-quarter earnings announcement.

Early trading action indicates good support at MXN 102.58, maintaining the day’s positive tilt.

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